What is Moneyway?
A practical guide to reading the Moneyway tables on Arbworld and what the volume distribution actually tells you.
The short answer
Moneyway is the proportion of total money matched on each outcome of a betting market on the Betfair Exchange. If 92% of the money on a 1X2 match has been matched on the home team and only 4% / 4% on the draw and away, the home side is the strong "moneyway favourite".
Why it matters
The Betfair Exchange is the single largest market for sports liquidity in Europe. Unlike traditional bookmakers, prices are set by users — including professional syndicates, bot traders and inside-info accounts — competing against each other. Where the volume goes is, in aggregate, where the most informed money sits.
This is not a guarantee. Heavy public favourites (popular teams, derbies, big finals) attract recreational money too. The real signal is when professional liquidity moves against the headline odds — for example, the home team is 2.10 but only 35% of the volume backs them.
How to read the Arbworld tables
- Odds (top of each cell) — current Betfair price. The blue highlight marks the favourite (lowest odds).
- %-share (bottom) — share of total matched volume on that outcome. The cell colour intensifies as the share approaches 100%, with red bands above 90% and yellow bands around 50%.
- £ amount — actual money matched on that outcome.
- Total volume column — overall market liquidity. Below the minimum threshold the row is filtered out so you only see meaningful markets.
Common moneyway patterns
1. Confirmation
Both odds and volume agree: the favourite has the lowest price and >60% of the money. Low information value, but a sanity check before placing accumulators.
2. Heavy moneyway with skinny price
One outcome holds 85–95% of the volume but the odds are still 1.40+. This usually signals a market the syndicates believe is mispriced — worth a closer look at injuries, line-up news or an early goal in live mode.
3. Money against the favourite
The favourite by odds attracts only 30–40% of the matched money. Often the most actionable pattern: either there's a known absentee not reflected in the line, or a sharp model is fading public bias.
4. Rising volume + dropping odds
Combine the Moneyway view with Dropping Odds. When share and price are both moving the same way, the move is well-supported by liquidity rather than a thin trade.
Limits of moneyway analysis
- Recreational-heavy fixtures (derbies, World Cup, El Clásico) skew toward popular teams regardless of value.
- Very early markets (days before kick-off) have thin volume; treat the % share with caution until the total volume crosses the filter threshold.
- Live moneyway is more reactive — every goal repositions the entire book. Use the live tables for trading, not for pre-match value.