Football Dropping Odds 1X2: Live Odds Movement

Football Dropping Odds compares the current Betfair Exchange price for home win, draw and away win with the opening price in upcoming matches. A shortening price means the market now rates that result as more likely; the table shows the size of each drop and refreshes every 60–120 seconds. Drops can reflect team news, informed money or public money, so check the matched volume behind them.

Risk note: Arbworld is an analytical guide only, not financial advice, betting advice, or a guaranteed income source. Market signals such as odds drops and Moneyway percentages are indicators, not certainties; they can reflect fluctuations, public money, or deliberate bookmaker traps. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.

Dropping odds % ≥ 7% 3% – 7% < 3%
Rising odds % ≥ 7% 3% – 7% < 3%

How to Read the Football Dropping Odds Table

Opening and current price

Each cell shows the opening price and the current price, with arrows and colour indicating the direction and size of the move. Drops are shaded from grey through orange to red as they grow; rising (drifting) prices are shaded green, because a drift tells you the market has become less confident in that outcome.

How big is a meaningful drop?

DropInterpretation
< 3%Usually normal market noise
3% – 7%A real move, but not necessarily value
≥ 7%Significant, especially on liquid matches

The shorter the opening price, the smaller a meaningful move can be: a favourite going from 1.50 to 1.40 is a bigger shift in implied probability than an outsider going from 8.0 to 7.5.

Check the volume

A big drop on a market with very little matched money is easy to cause and easy to reverse. Use the volume filter to focus on matches with real liquidity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are dropping odds in football?

Odds that have shortened since the market opened, meaning the market now rates that outcome as more likely than it did at the start.

How is the drop percentage calculated?

It is the change from the opening price to the current price, divided by the opening price. A move from 2.40 to 2.10 is a 12.5% drop.

Should I bet on every big drop?

No. By the time a drop is visible, much of the value may already be gone, and drops on thin markets can be misleading. Use it as one input alongside volume and your own analysis, and always bet responsibly.

What is the difference between dropping and drifting odds?

Dropping odds have shortened (the outcome is seen as more likely); drifting odds have lengthened (the market is less confident in it).

What do 1, X and 2 mean in football?

1 is a home win, X is a draw and 2 is an away win.

Date / Match1X2Volume / Links
Nov 12, 13:50Omani Professional League Cup
Oman FC — Al-Nasr
▼
2.662.64
▼
3.11.14
▲
2.963.0
£125
Nov 12, 17:00UEFA Ladies Europa Cup
SCU Torreense (W) — Sparta Prague (W)
▲
1.631.84
▼
4.13.95
▼
6.04.5
£695
Nov 12, 19:00Spanish Copa de la Reina
CE Europa (W) — Deportivo La Coruna (W)
▼
9.07.2
▼
6.05.3
▲
1.351.43
£102
Nov 12, 19:30Uruguayan Segunda Division
Cerrito — Colon FC
▼
4.53.8
▼
3.953.6
▲
1.822.02
£1,295
Nov 13, 00:00Colombian Primera A
Llaneros FC — Boyaca Chico
▼
1.771.5
▲
3.754.5
▲
5.47.8
£6,575
Nov 14, 15:30Spanish Primera Federación - Group 1
UD Ourense — Merida AD
▼
4.43.8
▼
3.353.2
▲
1.772.0
£132
Nov 12, 22:00Colombian Primera A
Deportivo Pasto — Junior FC Barranquilla
▼
16.014.0
▼
8.87.8
▲
1.21.23
£41,910
Nov 12, 22:00Brazilian Serie B
Ponte Preta — Operario PR
▼
5.75.0
▼
4.64.2
▲
1.61.73
£1,466
Nov 12, 16:00CAF African Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Madagascar — Guinea-Bissau
▲
3.33.75
▲
3.153.2
▼
2.562.3
£2,555
Nov 12, 19:30Uruguayan Segunda Division
Atenas — Club Oriental de La Paz
▲
1.711.73
▼
3.83.75
▼
6.05.4
£1,472
Nov 12, 17:00UEFA Nations League C
Armenia — Cyprus
▲
2.863.25
▼
3.33.2
▼
2.862.58
£49,327
Nov 12, 17:45UEFA Women's Champions League
Barcelona (W) — Arsenal (W)
▲
1.261.27
▼
8.67.8
▼
11.010.5
£25,779
Nov 12, 17:00UEFA Nations League A
Türkiye — Belgium
▼
4.13.75
▼
4.24.1
▲
1.912.0
£138,638
Nov 12, 15:00Friendlies International
Uzbekistan — Russia
▲
4.55.3
▲
3.654.0
▼
1.911.75
£13,756
Nov 12, 19:45UEFA Nations League A
England — Croatia
▲
1.291.3
=
6.66.6
▼
12.011.0
£188,662
Nov 12, 15:00UEFA U19 Euro Qualifiers
Portugal U19 — Lithuania U19
▲
1.061.07
▲
17.018.0
▼
60.055.0
£4,534
Nov 13, 19:45UEFA Nations League A
Netherlands — Greece
▲
1.571.63
▼
4.74.5
▼
6.45.9
£12,910
Nov 12, 15:00Jordan 1st Division
Al Aqaba — Hayy Al-Amir Hassan
▲
5.06.4
▲
3.84.3
▼
1.691.57
£414
Nov 13, 14:45Friendlies International
Qatar — Australia
▲
3.553.9
▲
3.43.45
▼
2.282.12
£276
Nov 12, 18:00Brazilian Paulista A U20
Red Bull Bragantino U20 — Corinthians U20
▼
1.651.59
▼
4.34.0
▲
4.75.0
£124
Nov 12, 23:00CONCACAF Nations League Qualifiers
Antigua and Barbuda — Trinidad & Tobago
▼
9.48.8
▼
5.65.5
▲
1.351.36
£243
Nov 12, 19:00CAF African Cup of Nations Qualifiers
Ivory Coast — Gambia
▼
1.251.24
▼
6.66.2
▼
16.015.0
£978
Nov 12, 20:00UEFA Women's Champions League
Benfica (W) — FK Austria Wien (W)
▼
1.641.54
▲
4.14.4
▲
6.07.2
£10,762
Nov 14, 16:30Italian Serie C
Gubbio — Grosseto
▼
2.962.78
=
3.553.55
▲
2.32.4
£360
Nov 12, 21:30Salvadoran Primera Division
Atletico Balboa — CD Inca
▼
1.711.61
=
4.14.1
▲
4.65.3
£235
Nov 12, 20:00Jamaican Premier League
Mount Pleasant FC — Portmore Utd
▲
2.442.54
▼
3.33.2
▼
3.152.98
£162
Nov 13, 19:45UEFA Nations League B
Scotland — North Macedonia
▲
1.21.21
▼
7.67.2
=
19.019.0
£4,780
Nov 12, 15:00Friendlies International U20
Egypt U20 — Tanzania U20
▼
1.521.44
▲
4.14.6
▲
8.08.8
£2,347
Nov 13, 19:45UEFA Nations League C
Luxembourg — Estonia
▲
2.262.32
=
3.23.2
▼
3.853.65
£3,606
Nov 12, 23:00Brazilian Serie B
Sao Bernardo — Athletic Club
▼
1.981.88
▲
3.63.65
▲
4.34.7
£493
Nov 14, 10:15Friendlies International
Japan — Brazil
▼
4.14.0
▼
4.03.8
▲
1.841.85
£259
Nov 14, 12:30English Sky Bet League 2
Exeter — Cheltenham
▲
1.91.92
▲
3.73.75
▼
4.24.0
£2,490
Nov 12, 19:00CONCACAF Nations League B
Barbados — Guadeloupe
▲
2.923.1
▼
4.03.95
▼
2.342.24
£4,725
Nov 12, 23:00Argentinian Super Cup
Estudiantes — Independiente Rivadavia
=
2.52.5
▼
3.052.92
▲
3.453.65
£332
Nov 13, 19:45UEFA Nations League C
Bulgaria — Iceland
▼
4.74.5
▼
3.73.65
▼
1.931.92
£2,060
Nov 14, 02:00CONCACAF Nations League A
Guatemala — Canada
▼
4.94.7
▼
4.64.5
▲
1.671.7
£1,764
Nov 14, 00:00Friendlies International
Ecuador — Costa Rica
▼
1.341.29
▲
5.25.8
▲
14.014.5
£1,863
Nov 13, 20:00CONCACAF Nations League B
Grenada — St Kitts & Nevis
▲
3.73.75
▼
4.13.95
▼
1.871.86
£329
Nov 12, 22:00CONCACAF Nations League Qualifiers
Aruba — Martinique
=
8.08.0
▲
5.85.9
▼
1.41.35
£1,687
Nov 13, 19:45UEFA Nations League B
Slovenia — Switzerland
▼
6.05.8
=
3.853.85
▼
1.731.71
£2,239

What Are Football Dropping Odds?

Football dropping odds are 1X2 prices that have shortened since the market opened. The table above compares the opening Betfair Exchange price with the current price for the home win (1), draw (X) and away win (2), and shows how far each one has moved.

When a home-win price moves from 2.40 to 2.10, it has dropped by 12.5% relative to the opening price. That is a change in price, not a 12.5-point increase in the chance of the home team winning.

Why Football Odds Drop

  • Team news — injuries, suspensions and confirmed line-ups.
  • Large or informed stakes that traders and bookmakers react to.
  • Public money piling onto well-known favourites.
  • Market correction when the opening price was simply wrong.

A falling price on its own does not prove that informed bettors are involved. Compare it with football Moneyway to see whether matched money supports the move, or use football Combined Score to see both signals in one number. Dropping odds describe market activity; they are not a prediction of a match result or a guarantee of profit. Data comes from the Betfair Exchange and the table refreshes every 60 or 120 seconds.

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